Thanks David - I went down the rabbit hole of IEA / GABC reports to try and find the assumptions behind the modelling. It seems they reference each other going back to 2015, but don’t really provide any details. Of course the IEA is technology driven and any concept of degrowth is verboten.
It is probably not viable to try and restrict building for the developing world, and indeed the inequity in this approach is glaring when you consider that the top 10% wealthiest sector produce 50% of emissions. However, I don’t believe we can meet these growth figures with current technologies without risking biodiversity collapse alongside climate catastrophe.